Daily Fantasy Baseball Strategy: Stacking (Part 2)

If you haven’t already done so, make sure you read the first part of this strategy breakdown here. In that post, I mentioned that there are 2 big reasons why stacking is a good idea when you’re making a DFS Tournament lineup for MLB. But I only talked about one of those reasons. So, let’s talk about the other big one.

Correlation Between Teammates

Just like before, I’m not going to show you the math behind this in this post. I just want to talk about the general thought and background behind it for now. If you want to read more about the math and numbers proving that teammates’ fantasy performances are correlated to each other, here and here are a couple good articles about it.

If you think fundamentally about the way baseball works, we should expect correlation like this.

Two players score from one event

Letā€™s say you have Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton batting 3rd and 4th respectively, for the Yankees. You put both of them in your lineup. In the 3rd inning, Aaron Judge hits a double, getting you some points. Then Giancarlo Stanton comes up and hits a 2-run homer. You would get the points for 1 run for Judge scoring, and the HR, 1 run, and 2 RBI for Stantonā€™s swing of the bat. As you could imagine, this effect is compounded even more if you have 3 or 4 players lined up from the same team. If they start stringing hits together, thatā€™s a lot of double counted points.

Avoiding outs leads to more plate appearances

Not only are there times when one event scores points for multiple players, but each time a player reaches base safely it creates opportunity. Typically, a full baseball game is 9 innings, with 3 outs per inning. So, if players on a team get out 27 times, none of them can score more fantasy points. Therefore, each time a player gets on base safely with a hit or a walk, that player scores fantasy points. Perhaps more importantly, he did it without using one of his team’s 27 outs.

Each time a player does something that gets him fantasy points, it gives his teammates an extra opportunity to do the same. This creates a situation where players on the same team either give each other more chances to score and score more points together, or they take chances away from each other by not scoring.

This creates correlations between teammates. In a Tournament contest, where a “boom or bust” lineup is the goal, you want correlation between the players in your lineup. Stacking is the best way to create that.

What’s Next?

In the next post we will start discussing when it would be a good idea to enter multiple lineups into contest, and when you should only enter one lineup. We will talk about some reasons for each so you can decide which approach you would like to take.

If you want to play along and enter some FanDuel lineups of your own, you can use my FanDuel referral link here to get a deposit bonus. You should just need to deposit at least $15 within 30 days of signing up, and you’ll get a $15 bonus added to your account if you use that link.

Click here for previous post: Daily Fantasy Baseball Strategy: Stacking (Part 1)
Click here for next post: How Many Daily Fantasy Tournament Lineups Should I Enter?
Click here to view the Table of Contents for other DFS Picks

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